Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 3.446224 4.128635 4.891432 5.804420 6.864441 8.053277 9.484271
2025-07-06 2.440688 3.300859 4.365086 5.766807 7.551207 9.732413 12.584108
2025-07-13 1.976321 2.952467 4.263537 6.126150 8.672112 11.993720 16.611089
2025-07-20 1.611762 2.628112 4.094113 6.315641 9.538512 13.974816 20.456220
2025-07-27 1.379198 2.429132 4.040636 6.621466 10.558486 16.224965 24.849065
2025-08-03 1.135755 2.154986 3.815043 6.615724 11.092206 17.804204 28.405787
2025-08-10 0.904429 1.847933 3.477077 6.368022 11.199936 18.730993 31.047468
2025-08-17 0.728279 1.598287 3.186751 6.143008 11.294011 19.614028 33.659954
2025-08-24 0.618273 1.448473 3.042768 6.138906 11.735683 21.062445 37.248209
2025-08-31 0.530886 1.324499 2.923740 6.156689 12.204807 22.579122 41.044699
2025-09-07 0.449627 1.195179 2.771578 6.087193 12.501594 23.816731 44.454248
2025-09-14 0.362605 1.032247 2.522943 5.792657 12.344641 24.243895 46.500261
2025-09-21 0.309242 0.938651 2.408225 5.757920 12.687736 25.607221 50.322017
2025-09-28 0.263724 0.853717 2.298116 5.717249 13.014001 26.966544 54.241389
2025-10-05 0.248796 0.847236 2.367477 6.072779 14.170849 29.957171 61.326664
2025-10-12 0.225766 0.812227 2.362471 6.260464 14.997312 32.378260 67.514900
2025-10-19 0.210948 0.797843 2.405945 6.563823 16.094611 35.398573 75.017355
2025-10-26 0.183927 0.738388 2.323479 6.558089 16.521499 37.125370 80.155088
2025-11-02 0.151621 0.651853 2.152603 6.312284 16.388968 37.713112 83.111864
2025-11-09 0.125391 0.577447 2.000206 6.089008 16.279396 38.330713 86.154934
2025-11-16 0.109764 0.536577 1.936344 6.084937 16.675498 40.026212 91.458359
2025-11-23 0.096769 0.501601 1.883496 6.102582 17.123430 41.860248 97.150816
2025-11-30 0.083426 0.460476 1.803386 6.033625 17.352148 43.232601 101.964743